Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 3.877336 4.317382 4.796211 5.357457 5.999188 6.712266 7.567660
2025-05-25 3.159835 3.726928 4.388272 5.221995 6.252673 7.495062 9.121140
2025-06-01 2.736876 3.365225 4.136048 5.162035 6.508175 8.237198 10.663779
2025-06-08 2.444677 3.106802 3.952598 5.129195 6.750778 8.947960 12.222338
2025-06-15 2.298817 3.008892 3.949578 5.311978 7.277152 10.077291 14.497633
2025-06-22 2.112322 2.832285 3.815074 5.287018 7.493386 10.775548 16.223393
2025-06-29 1.946940 2.666119 3.674005 5.229150 7.642020 11.374639 17.863848
2025-07-06 1.744908 2.429455 3.408987 4.956732 7.425800 11.369143 18.492070
2025-07-13 1.649491 2.338498 3.347112 4.983110 7.674920 12.130919 20.538349
2025-07-20 1.583053 2.284130 3.333494 5.080108 8.043683 13.129690 23.162002
2025-07-27 1.526786 2.239988 3.330351 5.190746 8.442863 14.224729 26.144658
2025-08-03 1.468640 2.188026 3.309586 5.267914 8.788475 15.261189 29.185300
2025-08-10 1.404816 2.124413 3.267942 5.310467 9.085790 16.264133 32.387811
2025-08-17 1.308113 2.001618 3.120480 5.155433 9.001597 16.516625 34.005814
2025-08-24 1.237563 1.916778 3.029841 5.092666 9.083570 17.108859 36.506118
2025-08-31 1.178458 1.846987 2.959440 5.059688 9.218218 17.824832 39.440760
2025-09-07 1.159453 1.843163 3.001994 5.239374 9.796279 19.567529 45.311723
2025-09-14 1.109313 1.782756 2.940458 5.214799 9.950210 20.391803 48.974660
2025-09-21 1.058138 1.717491 2.865754 5.157872 10.028706 21.052658 52.339917
2025-09-28 0.980151 1.601012 2.691224 4.889870 9.623947 20.521194 52.189419
2025-10-05 0.948909 1.565932 2.664032 4.915823 9.869847 21.595717 57.040487
2025-10-12 0.928914 1.549808 2.670805 5.011252 10.282089 23.144587 63.761562
2025-10-19 0.911596 1.537469 2.683686 5.120092 10.737390 24.876325 71.575363